What the data says about Matthew Golden’s outlook in 2026 and beyond

Player mentions

Article text

I did my master’s in data science thesis on machine learning modeling for fantasy football - here’s what the data says about Matthew Golden's 2026 outlook and beyond, given his year 2 statistical comps: 3/20 hit 1+ Top 24 FPPG finish (15%) 0/20 hit 1+ Top 12 FPPG finish (0%) 0/20 hit 1+ Top 5 FPPG finish (0%) __________________________________ Year 2 FPPG distribution specifically (PPR): Floor → 1.53 Q1 (25th % outcome) → 3.02 Median → 5.61 Q3 (75th % outcome)→ 9.03 Ceiling → 10.92 Absolute doomsday scenario for Golden after being drafted in the first round last offseason. His list of Year 2 comps are completely brutal. I consider myself a pretty optimistic guy / always looking for a silver lining for each of these players, but there is literally nothing about this data that gives me any hope for Golden to become a valuable fantasy asset in the future. Low ceiling, lower floor. Based on the response I was getting to this post yesterday in the standard redraft r/ff sub…there are CLEARLY still some big believers in his talent out there - I was getting downvoted left and right lmao😅 If I had any shares of Golden in dynasty, I would personally be trying to seek out one of these managers in my leagues that share that sentiment and try and offload him ASAP. He’s an extremely low % bet to hit at this point. What do you guys think about Golden? Make sure to check out the video for all my thoughts along with the full list of comps, and check out the full Year 2 comps series on my channel for all the guys I’ve covered!🤙 submitted by /u/boofstar [link] [comments]