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I did my master’s in data science thesis on machine learning modeling for fantasy football - here’s what the data says about Kenyon Sadiq's rookie outlook and beyond, given his year 1 statistical comps: 14/20 hit 1+ Top 12 FPPG finish (70%) 6/20 hit 1+ Top 6 FPPG finish (30%) 2/20 hit 1+ Top 3 FPPG finish (10%) __________________________________ Rookie Season FPPG distribution specifically (PPR): Floor → 2.64 Q1 (25th % outcome) → 4.35 Median → 6.72 Q3 (75th % outcome)→ 9.31 Ceiling → 13.99 Sadiq is quite a tough evaluation at the TE position. He's an early declare, ridiculously athletic, played at a super strong collegiate program - but was never a major focal point in the receiving game. He didn't earn targets downfield (albeit he wasn't really asked to), instead he mainly worked in the short-area receiving game and created yards after the catch using that freakish athleticism. It's an interesting profile in dynasty, and I do think he could blossom into a mainstay as one of the backend-TE1s on a yearly basis, but it's hard to envision MAJOR upside given his offensive situation and receiving role we saw at Oregon. Not a guy I'd be targeting in 2026 redraft leagues (unless we see his role evolving and looking promising over the first few weeks, then he'll be an intriguing waiver add). I'm fine snagging him at the backend of the first round of 2026 rookie drafts, but if I'm looking to compete this season I'd more than likely try to move off the pick for a veteran producer at the position. What do you guys think about Kenyon Sadiq? Make sure to check out the video above for all my thoughts along with the full list of rookie comps, and check out the full 2026 Rookie Series on my channel for all the guys I've covered so far! I also recently finished a series breaking down the data on the 2025 class going into year 2, you can check out that full series as well here if you're interested. 🤙 submitted by /u/boofstar [link] [comments]