What the data says about Gunnar Helm's fantasy outlook in 2026 and beyond

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What's up everyone, I hope you all had a great draft weekend (even if it was pretty underwhelming from an FF standpoint for the most part). To cap off my year 2 series, let's talk about Gunnar Helm... I did my master’s in data science thesis on machine learning modeling for fantasy football - here’s what the data says about Helm's 2026 outlook and beyond, given his year 2 statistical comps: 5/20 hit 1+ Top 12 FPPG finish (25%) 2/20 hit 1+ Top 5 FPPG finish (10%) 2/20 hit 1+ Top 3 FPPG finish (10%) __________________________________ Year 2 FPPG distribution specifically (PPR): Floor → 0.69 Q1 (25th % outcome) → 2.4 Median → 5.44 Q3 (75th % outcome)→ 7.19 Ceiling → 16.04 Gunnar Helm is a guy that I like more than the data does. There are some weird things that really tanked his prospect score in my model (for instance, he like pulled his hammy or something running the 40 at the combine and ended up getting an absolutely brutal athleticism score lol) so I always knew it was gonna be important to take his prospect numbers with a grain of salt. In his rookie season, Helm was one of the more effective TEs from the 2025 class on a per-route basis, even if his overall stats were not super great. He definitely had some significant flashes in an otherwise stale offense in Tennessee. Some pretty big positives for Helm after this weekend - the Titans didn't add another impactful TE in the 2026 draft, and the addition of Carnell Tate should actually be quite helpful for Helm as well - adding a legitimate outside threat with the ability to open up short-area and midfield work for him. With all these post-draft impacts considered, along with Okonkwo leaving in FA to Washington, Helm is set up rather nicely to be the TE1 on the Titans in 2026 - and I am excited to see what he can do! What do you guys think about Gunnar Helm? Make sure to check out the video for all my thoughts along with the full list of year 2 comps, and check out the full Year 2 comps series on my channel for all the guys I’ve covered! With Helm being the last 2025 guy I'll make a full video breakdown for, keep an eye out for 2026 rookies coming very soon🤙 submitted by /u/boofstar [link] [comments]