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...of why it's ok for a prospect to fall off the 2nd half of a season Idea partly from hearing from the FF Dynasty talking about Warren vs. Loveland The rea...
...to fall off the 2nd half of a season Idea partly from hearing from the FF Dynasty talking about Warren vs. Loveland The reason I brought this up is because...
...s ok for a prospect to fall off the 2nd half of a season Idea partly from hearing from the FF Dynasty talking about Warren vs. Loveland The reason I broug...
...a prospect to fall off the 2nd half of a season Idea partly from hearing from the FF Dynasty talking about Warren vs. Loveland The reason I brought this...
At the very least, if Egbuka or Warren take off again, they'll be to go-to examples of why it's ok for a prospect to fall off the 2nd half of a season Idea partly from hearing from the FF Dynasty talking about Warren vs. Loveland The reason I brought this up is because from what I see the general consensus is that Loveland > Warren by at least a full round in startups, and that Egbuka is still valued over Burden by just a bit, but if you want ceiling, you'd consider the trade. Either way, I think everyone would agree the 'hotter' names are Burden and Loveland, which makes sense. And interestingly (problematically?) they are on the same team. And before anyone says Egbuka is way over Burden, I can say as someone who has an unhealthy addiction to Dynasty podcasts that almost half of them, including big/respected names, have Burden above Egbuka. I'm not saying who I favor. I don't really know. But the point of this post is to say that it will be interesting to see if looking back, we use these test cases in terms of early year vs. late year rookie production, if one is present and the other isn't. This won't be an in-depth, nerd stat, post. It's more to highlight that from what I found, it's pretty rare to have two potential top valued rookies at the position, that had either all their success early OR late, but not both. The key element of it being unique is that most rookies break out late - it's odd to have two top rookies (Egbuka, Warren) come out of the gates like a bat out of hell and then, just, stop. Rookie year numbers: Egbuka/Burden Egbuka: WR23, 63 Receptions, 938 yards, 6 Touchdowns - - 3 top-5 games + 1 top-12 game + 7 of his first 9 games as a WR3 or better. STUNK the second half of the season Burden: WR48, 47 receptions, 652 yards, 2 Touchdowns - - 1 #1 overall game + 1 top-10 game + his super game came in the last meaningful game of the regular season. Egbuka obviously the better overall season, but remarkably isolated to the first 9 games of the season. Reasons for optimism (whether true, partly true, or rumor)- Evans gone, Baker was hurt last year(?), Egbuka was hurt last year(?), he's going to play the Z role which is better suited to his needs (Per Harmon, Bucs, internet users) Burden obviously the better late season demonstration of talent. Reasons for optimism: Ben Johnson smoke, per route metrics, DJ gone. As a side note- has there ever been a WR ranked this high in dynasty going into year 2 that has had exactly two good regular season games (don't come at me, yes I know, metrics, Ben Johnson, film!) Warren/Loveland Warren: TE4!!!, 78/817/4 - - - In his first ten games: 4 top-5 games, + 4 top-12 games. 8/10 of first games were TE1 territory. Stunk the 2nd half of the season. Although his stink stunk less than Egbuka's stink. Loveland: TE12 58/713/6 - - - 4 top-5 games, no TE1 games besides those 4 finishes BUT also had a TE 1 overall level point total in the playoffs. First 6 games Stunk. Reason for Warren optimism - - - He is from the Kittle/Kraft clan, the 'yac pack' if you will. He had an insane start and now they are moving forward without the target absorber Pittman. His target competition is Pierce (who is hurt and hasn't proved he can run routes under 20 yards, and Downs - who everyone is super sure is going to take a giant leap- Even if Pierce is magically ok and Downs is awesome, it's still the same offense where Warren went off and now Pittman is gone. Also, Daniel Jones will be back Reason for Loveland op…
