The argument to sell Fannin

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The key to selling high is finding players that leaguemates expect to replicate or improve their production while you think their production is going to decline. This offseason has a lot of hype around Fannin improving on his 72/731/6 rookie year but I'm not so optimistic. First, I believe last year showed a string of inefficient games masked by being peppered with targets. Despite receiving 107 targets last year he only cracked 100 yards once and only cracked 65 yards 1 other time (81). When I look at games with 14 targets (7/48), 6 targets (2/24), 7 targets (4/44), 6 targets (4/40), and 6 targets (4/34) I'm seeing a productive season resulting from a large number of targets rather than someone making the most of them. Second, I don't believe that number of targets is going to be replicated in the future. Fannin was #5 in the league for targets last year. It's my belief that a reason for that was a lack of other options as the WR room consisted of Jerry Jeudy, Isaiah Bond, Cedric Tillman, Jamari Thrash,and Malachi Corley. That rooms is abysmal but the Browns put in a lot of resources to improving it this offseason. They drafted KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston early to give the room some more talent. It's entirely reasonable to expect the target share from last year (107 for Fannin, 101 for Jeudy, 44 for Bond) to spread out more between Fannin/Jeudy/KC/Boston. Finally, the loss of Stefanski as coach is unfortunate for the TE room imo. Stefanski loves scheming plays for the TE and we've seen this show up year after year for Cleveland. Each of the past 4 seasons saw a Cleveland TE with a top 3 target amount on the team and two of those years the TE was #1.That doesn't mean the TE won't still get featured but you're going from perhaps the second best coach for TE production to an unknown on that front. With all of these put together I think there are very reasonable paths this year to Fannin not only being unable to take a step forward production wise this year but even be unable to replicate his stats from last year. If he drops from 107 targets to say even 80 yet maintains his inefficient results with those targets, we could be in line for a big disappointment from him this season. So with so many people feeling the opposite way and pricing him as TE4 right now, this to me is a great time to sell high and cash in on turning a mid round 2026 pick into a more sure fire and consistent starter for your team. submitted by /u/JumboCactpot [link] [comments]