Parker Washington 12-personnel data analysis: key stats and snap rates

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To buy or sell Parker Washington? On the one hand, we know he was the Jaguars' best receiver to this point in his career, and he's had to do it from the bottom up, starting as a day three draft pick. On the other hand, the entire NFL is shifting to heavier personnel looks, and Washington's slot profile means he's at serious risk of being held back from fantasy stardom, similar to Jayden Reed or Josh Downs. I went through Washington's splits by personnel groupings to figure out what an increase in 12-personnel looks would mean for his playing time and fantasy production. Some quick highlights: Washington actually played about half the snaps in heavy sets He was extremely unproductive in these snaps, mostly because the Jags were extremely run heavy when playing with two or fewer receivers on the field. Washington's snap share in 3+ receiver sets actually has room to grow, and it could offset the negatives of more heavy personnel looks. It's absolutely worth it for you to read the full analysis in the article, where I take a more nuanced look at all of Washington's avenues to a breakout even assuming the Jags deploy more heavy personnel groupings. submitted by /u/AtonalAxolotl [link] [comments]