Non-Subscribers Still have a 3.1% Chance to Make the Playoffs

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Get these summaries delivered to your inbox each week!  We’ll get out in front of the Reddit comments this week and apologize for the lack of a podcast episode last week; unfortunately there won’t be one this week either due to schedule issues for Camaron. If you work in agriculture, you understand the struggle of trying to do anything during harvest season, and if you don’t… that sounds nice. Not to worry, though, as your regularly-scheduled FF Newsletter is here, and we personally guarantee 100 combined points from our waiver weapons this week to compensate. Most of them will probably come from Cam’s pick, but Chris is trying too. If you’re looking for even more deep-dive goodness, as well as up-to-the-minute headlines and the greatest community of fantasy players that the internet has to offer, then join our premium subscriber’s community on Discord via Patreon for just $5 a month . Here’s a taste of what we talked about this week: When to trade a young WR1 for a veteran productive RB in a keeper league Chig Okonkwo being the ONLY drafted player still on the Titans from their 2020-2022 Drafts. The new Greg Jennings IDP Defensive Backs to add (Hello Tykee Smith) Starting two TEs on national TE day Uncle Jimmy -10,000 to win the Super Bowl The only life events that feel as good as already having Oronde Gadsden rostered If you’re here from some non-email source (Reddit, Twitter, a friend who forwarded the email, etc.), make sure to subscribe so you get this email every Thursday AM and can act on it before your leaguemates get to it first. In case you missed the button to do so above, here’s another one: Subscribe now As always, let us know what stats helped you out in the comments, Reddit , or on Twitter @FFNewsletter! Onward to the news. Analysis & Hype: Odds of making the fantasy playoffs (per Yahoo! Fantasy 2024 results ): • 0-8: 3.1% • 1-7: 4.3% • 2-6: 19.3% • 3-5: 40.9% • 4-4: 66.2% • 5-3: 85.6% • 6-2: 95.5% • 7-1: 98.7% • 8-0: 99.3% Awesome context about whose schedule gets better and worse in the back-half of the season. Some more data - which teams go for it on fourth when they “should”? Kimani Vidal (among 43/45 RBs with 45+ carries): • 2nd in RYOE/att (1.49) • 3rd in Explosive Run Rate (9.3%) • 6th in Yards Per Carry (5.2) Tyjae Spears since returning from injury: • 4 carries + targets • 9 carries + targets • 9 carries + targets • 12 carries + targets Cam Ward faced DEN, HOU, LAR first four weeks. Been playing better since. • Weeks 1-4: 4.9 YPA, 51% cmp, -0.29 EPA/play, 153 yards/game • Weeks 5-8: 6.7 YPA, 63% cmp, -0.14 EPA, 250 yards/game Brock Bowers had 103 yards in 3 healthy quarters this season. He has had 122 since… Tetairoa McMillan is just 1 of 10 WRs to record 30+ receiving 1st Downs thru his first 8 career games since 1978. Most points per drive since 2000: 5. 2024 Lions: 3.02 4. 2020 Packers: 3.06 3. 2018 Chiefs: 3.12 2. 2007 Patriots: 3.19 1. 2025 Colts : 3.46 Average distance needed for a 1st down on 3rd down this season: • Rams (5.8 yards) • Packers (6.1) … • Eagles (7.9) • Bears (8.1) Chimere Dike is the WR11 since Brian Callahan got fired. Dike is also the WR1 in 0.5 PPR leagues that give out points for KR/PR yards. TE Receiving yard leaders: 1. Tyler Warren (492 yards) (23 years old) 2. Travis Kelce (474 yards) (36 years old) 3. Tucker Kraft (469 yards) (24 years old) 4. Trey McBride (421 yards) (25 years old) 5. Oronde Gadsden (385 yards) (22 years old) Kareem Hunt in 8 games without Isiah Pacheco last yea…