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Jalen McMillan is Not Priced Right Given His Opportunity
Jul 7, 2026/u/Crazy_Ad_2473r/DynastyFF
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KTC has McMillan around WR58, 150 overall. I think the market is pricing his neck injury correctly, but not fully pricing his opportunity post-Evans. Quick reset on who this guy was before the injury. As a rookie in 2024, McMillan went 37/461/8, scored in his final five straight games, and finished as the WR7 from Weeks 14-18. That stretch was touchdown-driven, so I’m not pretending all of it just carries forward. But the reason it matters is the role: he was earning scoring-area usage in a real offense before the injury wiped out most of his second season. Then 2025 happened. He suffered a serious neck injury, landed on IR, missed 13 games, and spent months in a brace. That is the central risk of the entire bet. But he did return for the final four games, caught 12 of 15 targets for 178 yards, and put up 7/114 in Week 17. For a guy coming off that kind of injury, that matters. The opportunity is what I don’t think is priced in. Evans is gone, and that leaves a real X/boundary role open in a Baker offense. I’m not discounting Egbuka. He is probably the long-term alpha, but he profiles more as a Z. Godwin is at his best in the slot. McMillan doesn’t have to beat both of them to matter. He just has to become the full-time outside WR, which is the clearest path available. So this isn’t “he’s free.” He’s a real bench asset with high end FLX upside, priced like a dart. At WR58/150, I’m comfortable paying a 2nd (outside of early 2027) or any 3rd. My own rankings have him meaningfully higher than KTC because I don’t think the role change is fully reflected yet. Downside is obvious: the neck injury is a genuine flag, Godwin is still around when healthy, and Egbuka caps the ceiling. But the bet is simple: former productive rookie, depressed price, serious injury discount, and a cleaner path to full-time outside routes than he had a year ago. submitted by /u/Crazy_Ad_2473 [link] [comments]