ArticleScore 100
Fantasy Football Target Practice: The 2026 Denver Broncos
Jun 12, 2026Chris CashThe Fantasy Footballers
Getting things ready
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Player mentions
Jayden Reed
WR · GB · #traderumor
...fantasyfootballers.com/fantasy/jayden-reed" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jayden Reed & a 2027 2nd type of deal. <span style="font-weight...
Nate Adkins
TE · DEN · #general
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Troy Franklin
WR · DEN · #general
...ntasyfootballers.com/fantasy/troy-franklin" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Troy Franklin 46 <td style="text-align: ce...
RJ Harvey
RB · DEN · #general
...hefantasyfootballers.com/fantasy/rj-harvey" target="_blank" rel="noopener">RJ Harvey 68 <td style="text-align: ce...
Pat Bryant
WR · DEN · #general
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Jonah Coleman
RB · DEN · #general
...ntasyfootballers.com/fantasy/jonah-coleman" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jonah Coleman 6 <td style="text-align: cen...
Article text
The Denver Broncos certainly had no issue putting the ball in the air last year. Bo Nix led the NFL with 612 attempts, and Denver finished near the top of the league in pass attempts per game. The fantasy scoring and efficiency left our fantasy bellies rumbling, with only 25 passing TDs plus plenty of drops (fifth in the league with 27). My curiosity is whether Nix becomes consistent enough to make QB16 look like a discount. Can he outperform that with the new acquisition, Jaylen Waddle ? Waddle is a proven target earner. Dominator Rating combines a player’s share of receiving yards and TDs, and Denver now has two players who finished inside the top 16 last season. Waddle finished 15th at 27.92%, while Courtland Sutton finished 16th at 26.94%. Now, those numbers will not work in tandem ; they will cannibalize each other. Sutton did not have to compete against a Waddle-level profile last year, and Waddle was not sharing the field with Sutton. But that is exactly what makes these projections worth discussing. So, let’s break it down real smooth. 1. The Macro View: Projecting the 2026 Passing Game Passing Projection for the 2026 Denver Broncos Pass Attempts: 590 Completions: 402 Passing Yards: 4,359 Passing TDs: 28 These numbers come directly from Baller’s Premium Projections in the Ultimate Draft Kit, plus my adjustments based on available Sportsbook futures/medians. Bo Nix ’s first two seasons give us the range of outcomes, even though we do not really count the first month of his career here at Footballers HQ. His rookie year was the efficient version, while last year was the volume version. I do not think the answer for 2026 is simply copying either one. The truth is likely somewhere in the middle. That is why these projections pull the attempts back a bit while still expecting Nix to turn a stronger supporting cast into better overall production. 2. 2026 Broncos Target Projection Summary Player Targets Target Share Receptions Yards TDs FPts Jaylen Waddle 128 22% 73.7 1046 6 217.3 Courtland Sutton 117 20% 63.7 839 6.3 184.4 Evan Engram 64 11% 45.7 405 2.3 98 Troy Franklin 46 8% 37.3 441 2.7 95.6 RJ Harvey 68 12% 42.7 300 2.3 84.5 Pat Bryant 47 8% 32.3 371 2.3 81.2 Marvin Mims Jr . 33 6% 26 279 1.7 62.1 Jonah Coleman 6 1% 5.7 127 0.7 35.6 Justin Joly 10 2% 9.3 141 1 34.4 Adam Trautman 14 2% 13.3 113 1 29.3 Tyler Badie 15 3% 14 106 0.5 27.6 J.K. Dobbins 23 4% 17.7 75 0 22.2 Nate Adkins 10 2% 9 69 1 20.9 Lucas Krull 5 1% 4 35 0 7.5 Adam Prentice 4 1% 3 12 0 4.2 Total 590 100% 402.1 4359 27.8 *Fantasy Points is for full +1 PPR. Advanced Passing Team Notes from 2025 Pass Rate Over Expectation (PROE) measures how often a team passes compared to expectation based on down, distance, score, and game situation. Denver ranked seventh last season. PROE+ adds neutral pace to the equation, rewarding teams that pass more than expected while also playing fast. Denver tied for second, showing they planned on putting the ball in the air. But the problem wasn’t involvement; it was impact. Denver ranked sixth in yards after catch with 2,093, so the pass catchers were doing real work after the ball arrived. Without that, this offense would have been a hot mess. Even with solid YAC, the explosive play rate (20+ yard plays) was 12th worst in the league at only 16%. The Broncos could move the ball through the air, but too many plays were chain movers instead of field flippers. 3. The Targets: Individual Player Breakdowns 2026 Projected Passing Pie: 590 pass…