ADP Rewind: QB Takeaways 2026 (Fantasy Football)

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The best indicator for future success is past success. That is why, whenever I start my fantasy football research for the upcoming season, I look back at the previous season to see who succeeded or failed relative to expectations. Learning valuable lessons from the previous season and applying them to the next is very important for growing as a fantasy football manager. With that being said, let’s rewind to last season and see what happened at the QB position. Top-12 2025 QBS QBs Pass Yards Pass TD INT Rush Yards Rush TD FUM Total Points Josh Allen 3,668 25 10 579 14 7 364.6 Drake Maye 4,394 31 8 450 4 8 351 Matthew Stafford 4,707 46 8 1 0 7 350.4 Trevor Lawrence 4,007 29 12 359 9 5 338.2 Caleb Williams 3,942 27 7 383 3 3 316.2 Dak Prescott 4,552 30 10 177 2 6 313.8 Bo Nix 3,931 25 11 356 5 4 304.8 Jalen Hurts 3,224 25 6 421 8 8 299.1 Jared Goff 4,564 34 8 45 0 5 297.1 Justin Herbert 3,727 26 13 498 2 7 286.9 Patrick Mahomes 3,587 22 11 422 5 3 284.7 Baker Mayfield 3,693 26 11 382 1 11 271.9 Last season, for a second consecutive year, only six QBs finished with 4,000 passing yards, tied for the lowest mark since 2011. Even with the 17th game added in 2021, passing totals have been down the past two seasons. However, the Ballers currently have a bounce-back season projected for QBs. Fourteen QBs are currently projected to have at least 4,000 passing yards across the Ballers’ average projections (this list assumes 17-game health for all QBs). Baller’s Projected Average QB1 Stats Pass Yards Pass TD Rush Yards Rush TDs INT FUM Total Points 4,058 30 421 5 10 5 326 Some of the biggest fallers last season when comparing their ADP to fantasy finish (partially due to injury) were Lamar Jackson , Jayden Daniels , and Joe Burrow . The best values in drafts were Drake Maye , Matthew Stafford , and Trevor Lawrence . For Maye, the Patriots took an unexpected leap as a team, leading to a Super Bowl appearance. Stafford shushed the back injury concerns that he dealt with in the offseason to become the oldest first-time MVP in NFL history. Lawrence took a jump and reminded us why he was “drafted to be great.” Biggest Differences in ADP vs Fantasy Finish QB 2025 ADP* 2025 Finish Differential Matthew Stafford 23 3 20 Drake Maye 18 2 16 Trevor Lawrence 20 4 16 Lamar Jackson 2 20 -18 Joe Burrow 5 33 (tied) -28 Jayden Daniels 3 33 (tied) -30 *Taken from Sleeper This year, there are a few archetypes of players and the risks associated with them in the top 12 of the Ballers’ rankings at QB. QB1: Josh Allen The first tier is Josh Allen , alone. He is in a league of his own, with an average ADP of 3.03. Finishing as a top two QB every year of the 2020s so far, the only question with Allen as the QB on your fantasy roster is: How early is too early to take a QB? Everybody knows how great he is, but where is the line you have to draw? When is being a weekly difference-maker at the QB position no longer worth the trade-off of missing out on other early-round skill RBs and receivers? Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images Mobile QBs with Injury Risk Lamar Jackson , Jayden Daniels , and Jaxson Dart . Mobile QBs naturally take more hits while scurrying around the field. However, these QBs can be game changers because of their rushing ability. We all remember how great Lamar Jackson has been in the past, including his 2019 MVP season, when he averaged 27.7 PPG. Jayden Daniels ’ rookie season was special, finishing as the QB5. Jaxson Dart showed flashes of fantasy brilliance last…