A Model-Based View on Post-Draft WR & RB Risers & Fallers

...for many of these players. Jonah Coleman The Broncos don't seem to view RJ Harvey as a pure bellcow, and I'm sure Sean Payton would relish the chance to gri...

...ace on one of the league's best offenses should be giving him more shine. Elijah Sarratt If Bell is a prospect I'm against reaching for, though, I'm far more comf...

...rce, his consistently high TGT% is notable given he outpaced first-rounder Omar Cooper on championship-winning Indiana. Add in the fact that Lane's biggest conce...

...a mirage, and I think it's instructive to look at his new Ravens teammate Ja'Kobi Lane for comparison. Lane's TGT% and best-season PPR/G are worse than many othe...

...Concepcion, who our model was bullish on going into the draft, now joins Makai Lemon in the high-upside (albeit not quite elite) tier, and edges past him post-...

...ment if you squint hard enough, at least from a receiving angle. The WRs KC Concepcion Concepcion, who our model was bullish on going into the draft, now joins...

...ks taken, I'm going to spill less ink on them here. While new Raiders back Mike Washington was the player most definitively hurt by the draft process, I'm far more o...

...s speed alone, and has one of the worst production profiles in the class. Chris Bell Bell is the prospect I most disagree with consensus on, even though I get...

...79th percentile) that I'm fine paying that premium in a shallow RB class. Emmett Johnson Might be my model's most savvy tout in the middle rounds: his great PFF g...

...it's hard to imagine many better landing spots for many of these players. Jonah Coleman The Broncos don't seem to view RJ Harvey as a pure bellcow, and I'm sure...

...rowded now, Jonathan Taylor is closer to free agency than you might think. Demond Claiborne, while meaningfully undersized, has a case for being a viable Aaron Jones...

...e, which leaves it vulnerable to a couple of archetypes. Tennessee product Chris Brazzell, whose gimmick-offense background already gave us enough grounds for skept...

...wishful thinking, and his profile as a receiver is huge for PPR leagues. Kaytron Allen I'm not disputing the upside case, and if you'd rather bet on Allen's two...

...erformed in college, though, even considering Tennessee's gimmick offense. Zavion Thomas, by comparison, was more meaningfully over-drafted for his speed alone, an...

...epancies in this draft, I think it's a tad silly to take Bell over, say, a De'Zhaun Stribling, whose early-second investment and place on one of the league's best offen...

...eceiving upside in the second round, especially in PPR. Late dart throws Seth McGowan was an excellent tester at the combine, and while the Colts backfield is d...

...nd Claiborne, while meaningfully undersized, has a case for being a viable Aaron Jones replacement if you squint hard enough, at least from a receiving angle. T...

...rare distinction of the model dubbing him a high-upside mid-rounder. Given Kenneth Walker's injury history, betting on Johnson is hardly wishful thinking, and his p...

...-none type, and also found a great landing spot in Washington. Despite the Brandon Aiyuk rumors, it's hard to think of a better talent and opportunity fit outside...

...r at the combine, and while the Colts backfield is definitely crowded now, Jonathan Taylor is closer to free agency than you might think. Demond Claiborne, while mea...

...g Four, and not just a Big Three, when it comes to the receiver position. Antonio Williams Already flagged by my model as a stud, Williams held up post-draft, and h...

...d targeted QBR) I feed into my model for Allen is simply brutal, and while Rachaad White is certain to help carry that load, I'm not comfortable taking a back with...